Historic Patterns Show Bitcoin’s 2025 Rally Mirrors Past Cycles

Bitcoin corrections in weeks 6 to 8 of price discovery cycles show repeating market structures, reflecting historical patterns across past rallies.

Intraday volatility with quick reversals and rising trading volume indicates strong market participation and increasing liquidity within the current cycle.

Bitcoin’s limited supply of 21 million coins and upcoming halving event continue to support long-term valuation growth and market strength.

Bitcoin is in the correction stage as part of its price discovery journey, which is a common cycle in the history of market entrenchments. According to past statistics, week 6-8 could be a testing time of market strength.

Bitcoin Price Discovery Patterns Across Cycles

Market analyst Rekt Capital noted in a recent post that Bitcoin followed a similar structure in every previous cycle. In 2013, Bitcoin advanced for six weeks before recording a correction in week seven. In 2017, the rally extended for seven weeks before a retrace of 34% in week eight. The 2020–2021 cycle showed the same setup, with six weeks of gains followed by a 30% pullback.

For the 2025 cycle, Bitcoin maintained its rhythm, with a seven-week rally before a correction of 32%. At present, the second leg of the price discovery uptrend has triggered its first pullback in week six, reinforcing the repeating nature of this cycle structure.

Bitcoin Intraday Market Behavior

According to CoinMarketCap data, Bitcoin’s intraday activity has been volatile with quick shifts between support and resistance. The asset tested higher levels before dipping near $112,500 and later recovered above $113,800. These rapid reversals signal strong market participation and heightened algorithmic trading activity.

Trading volume over 24 hours surged more than 10%, reaching $71.61 billion. This is a sign of an upbeat activity that will in most cases preface a powerful trend. The current market capitalization stands at $2.26 trillion, and the volume of the market capitalization ratio, at 3.14 percent, indicates the stability of liquidity and open trading.

Market Structure and Supply Outlook

Dies Zero, another market commentator, observed that these recurring weeks of correction often act as resets for Bitcoin. He explained that these drawdowns remove excess leverage, setting stronger bases for the next move. The repetitive nature of corrections suggests cyclical market psychology at work.

Bitcoin is currently about halfway through its supply limit of 21 million amounts of coins circulating, with about 19.9 million coins. This shortage factor together with the impending halving keep pushing the long term valuations. As trading levels consolidated around $113,000 to $114,000, buyers were watching to see whether the buyers will maintain that rush or will provide additional pullbacks.

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