History Repeats? TOTAL3 Rounded Bottom Hints at Explosive Altcoin Breakout Ahead

Altcoin market cap is approaching the $1.3T resistance—same zone that rejected price in 2021 and early 2025.

Market structure shows a rounded bottom formation from 2022, similar to the one formed between 2018 and 2021.

Breakout from the recent bull flag and MACD crossover confirms strong structural momentum building in the current cycle.

The altcoin market nears a potential breakout as TOTAL3 mirrors its 2020 rounded bottom pattern. With tightening price action below $1.3T and bullish momentum building, history could repeat—hinting at a major rally just around the corner.

TOTAL3 Tests Resistance as Accumulation Structure Completes

The TOTAL3 index, which measures the market cap of all altcoins excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, is trading just under a critical resistance zone. According to TradingView data, the index peaked around $1.3 trillion in 2021 before entering a prolonged downtrend through 2022.

Source: Jelle Via X

Starting in mid-2022, the market began to form a rounded bottom pattern.In 2024, the price crossed its 50-week moving average. It remained stable above that level while testing the horizontal resistance around $1.1T to $1.3T. This same range previously acted as a major rejection zone.

The recent candles in mid-2025 show a tightening consolidation beneath this resistance, with reduced wicks and declining volatility—both conditions that appeared during the 2020 breakout phase.

Bull Flag Breakout Adds to Strength

In Q2 2025, the index formed a descending flag pattern following a rally. This bull flag played out over several weeks and briefly pulled the price below its moving average. However, the structure broke to the upside, reclaiming the average and confirming support from previous higher lows.

Key support levels remain intact as marked by arrow indicators on the chart. These higher lows reinforce the ongoing upward structure and have held firm during multiple pullbacks.

MACD data, shared by @el_crypto_prof, reveals a bullish crossover on the monthly chart—similar to the momentum shift that preceded the 2020 rally. The histogram has also flipped green, showing early strength.

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