After unlocking, the SUI price faces short-term rebound pressure.

With the official unlocking of tokens on July 1, 2025, approximately 1.3% of SUI’s circulating supply (worth about $122 million) has been released into the market. In the short term, the price has experienced significant volatility. From a technical perspective, the SUI price tested the support level of $2.85 but has not yet shown a clear rebound trend, indicating that the market is still in a consolidation phase of digesting supply. Currently, SUI is in a sideways oscillation range, and the main buying pressure has not yet clearly intervened. The short-term direction will depend on the destination of the unlocked tokens and the market’s expectations for the overall ecological development.

Institutional trust and tool innovation have not changed.

Although the token unlock has caused selling pressure in the short term, some fundamental bullish factors have not disappeared:

• Amber International has recently included SUI in its $100 million reserve fund, indicating that institutional funds still maintain confidence in this asset.
• Tools like BananaTool lower the threshold for issuing tokens in Web3, attracting more creators and project parties into the ecosystem, which in the long run supports SUI.
• The US market still regards SUI as one of the projects of interest, highlighting its gradually expanding international influence.

These factors could become catalysts for restoring upward momentum after unlocking, especially when new applications or major collaboration projects are announced, which are more likely to reignite market sentiment.

Observation of SUI Price Trends

Currently, there is a significant divergence in the market regarding the technical trend of SUI, but the key price levels are clear:

• $2.85 forms short-term support, an important range that has been tested but not broken in the past few days.
• A valid breakout above the range of 2.91 USD is needed in order to challenge the integer level of 3 USD.
• If it falls below 2.85, it will further探 2.7 - 2.6 dollar range.

Consolidation is a common market reaction after unlocking, but if the news turns positive, SUI is expected to enter a new wave of upward cycle.

Web3 games and instant applications are the main axis of future growth.

SUI focuses on Web3 games and interactive applications, laying a solid foundation for its growth potential.

• High-performance blockchain architecture that provides instant responses and low-latency user experience for game design.
• Provide comprehensive tools and development support to lower the technical threshold for DApp on-chain and token issuance.
• With more creators and teams entering, SUI is more likely to form a creative and economic ecosystem with scale effects.

The developer community is still in the early stages of expansion, and the lack of blockbuster applications remains a bottleneck for ecological development. Whether it can attract large GameFi projects in the future will be the key to the next wave of growth.

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Summary

The SUI unlock event has passed, and short-term market fluctuations are a normal adjustment behavior. The real focus will be on the next few weeks to see if there will be new collaborations, public chain upgrades, or major DApp releases to drive the price back to $3.